In a month or so there is going to be a nerf to the drone regions. For those who aren’t aware, the drone regions are a russian held area of nullsec where the pirates in belts are all rogue drones. Instead of bounties, Rogue drones drop alloys or ‘drone poo’, which is refined into minerals. These alloy rewards are going away and being replaced with isk bounties. This is bad for Eve. Why? Because you have an area of space where most of the minerals in the game are coming from, and its from ‘gun mining’ which is largely botted.
Further, the mineral compression factor on these alloys is huge. You can fit enough minerals to make a carrier into an industrial. You can fit enough minerals to make a titan in a single fucking carrier. It is bonkers.
So with this nerf incoming, what does this mean for Eve? Well, mineral prices are going to go up considerably, especially the minerals that cannot be mined in high-sec. The source of these minerals will be gun-miners and minerals ferried from nullsec, lowsec and wormholes, so the supply will go down considerably. Demand will remain relatively constant, so the price will go up considerably. Further, the bounties coming from drones now will put more isk into the economy and fuel inflation, making the value of minerals even higher.
Looking at the mineral chart here, you can see that Zydrine and Morphite is not mined in highsec at all. The other high end minerals, Nocxium and Megacyte, can be mined in highsec. From this information, I believe that Zydrine and Morphite will continue to rise in price strongly, and Nocx and Mega will also rise, but not as dramatically.
What does this mean for the economy? Keep in mind the above changes in price are purely fueled by speculation. The change is still a month off.
Well, everything is going to go up in price. Everything which is produced by minerals will go up a lot. Ships, modules, ammo, all of it. It’ll take time as Eve’s economy is strongly slanted toward oversupply, but prices will rise.
What does the smart trader do then? Start trading in minerals, for one. By flipping minerals on stations in a bullish market, you can make a lot of isk while riding the wave.
Secondly, invest in minerals to hold onto. By having your isk in minerals, you will gain capital over time as the market rises. The purchasing power of each isk you have is going to go down over time due to inflation, and that is going to be magnified with these changes to the market. The smart place to put your wealth right now is into minerals.
Anyway, progress report.
1282.3m sell orders + 190m escrow + 413m cash + 300m assets = 2185.3m total. I expect that’ll spike by another 200m when I do my next stocking run, which will be going into Frarn, a mission hub 1 jump from Rens. Its amazing the price difference 1 jump makes when there are lazy rich missioners about.